Yesterday afternoon, at the Chiang Mai University (CMU), Dr. Paul Chambers delivered a lecture, in a lecture room of the Social Sciences Building.
It was entitled,”Understanding Thailand’s Political Stalemate: Causes, Prospects, and Meanings” and was followed by discussion with Q&A.
Dr. Chambers presented the background, primary stakeholders, different factions, and fundamental issues surrounding the current political crisis in Thailand, including a discussion of the implications prolonged instability in Thailand could have for Burma and Thai-Burma relations.
Dr. Chambers is the author or co-author of several books, including,
Since it became a Constitutional Monarchy 1932, Thailand has endured an astonishing 11 successful military coups, as well as seven attempted coups. It seems that this troubled nation has so many competing power groups.
I found the lecture very enlightening. Previously I had not fully understood the role and the power of Prem Tinsulanonda (aged 93) and the Privy Council. Now I understand how conflict arises between the Palace and politicians.
The subject of the lecture was too complicated to relate here. He illustrated the contending parallel states by the slide below.
The findings of the National Anti-Corruption Commission(NACC) are due soon as is the decision of the Constitutional Court on the validity of the February 2 election. It is likely that Yingluck’s caretaker government will be forced to stand aside and the February election result will be annuled. Another election will take place. In the meantime another “neutral” caretaker government will take place on the resignation of Wingluck.